Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.032514 0.035643 0.038818 0.042275 0.045925 0.049660 0.053763
2025-08-31 0.028467 0.033143 0.038065 0.043608 0.049651 0.056013 0.063196
2025-09-07 0.025172 0.030949 0.037233 0.044516 0.052666 0.061451 0.071583
2025-09-14 0.022383 0.028953 0.036316 0.045070 0.055092 0.066109 0.079037
2025-09-21 0.019901 0.027026 0.035236 0.045230 0.056904 0.069959 0.085512
2025-09-28 0.018455 0.026150 0.035235 0.046513 0.059907 0.075093 0.093403
2025-10-05 0.016274 0.024175 0.033754 0.045898 0.060573 0.077450 0.098045
2025-10-12 0.014716 0.022841 0.032931 0.045965 0.061955 0.080573 0.103527
2025-10-19 0.013597 0.021972 0.032602 0.046562 0.063919 0.084340 0.109740
2025-10-26 0.012766 0.021411 0.032605 0.047525 0.066293 0.088578 0.116505
2025-11-02 0.010956 0.019369 0.030571 0.045807 0.065273 0.088669 0.118281
2025-11-09 0.009839 0.018210 0.029623 0.045410 0.065841 0.090639 0.122274
2025-11-16 0.008767 0.017052 0.028639 0.044953 0.066346 0.092571 0.126294
2025-11-23 0.008382 0.016895 0.029017 0.046293 0.069153 0.097366 0.133840
2025-11-30 0.007896 0.016543 0.029094 0.047214 0.071416 0.101494 0.140592
2025-12-07 0.007346 0.016043 0.028927 0.047779 0.073204 0.105027 0.146623
2025-12-14 0.006729 0.015383 0.028489 0.047940 0.074441 0.107857 0.151786
2025-12-21 0.006476 0.015308 0.028897 0.049270 0.077225 0.112654 0.159417
2025-12-28 0.005744 0.014347 0.027931 0.048630 0.077353 0.114051 0.162787
2026-01-04 0.005246 0.013752 0.027485 0.048699 0.078411 0.116626 0.167633
2026-01-11 0.004915 0.013429 0.027436 0.049319 0.080205 0.120146 0.173676
2026-01-18 0.004688 0.013283 0.027652 0.050318 0.082518 0.124344 0.180593
2026-01-25 0.003920 0.012010 0.026008 0.048535 0.080961 0.123471 0.181035